AWUS01 KWNH 101626
FFGMPD
MOZ000-KSZ000-NEZ000-101924-

Mesoscale Precipitation Discussion 0660
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
1225 PM EDT Fri Jul 10 2026

Areas affected...far southeastern Nebraska, far northeastern
Kansas, far northwestern Missouri

Concerning...Heavy rainfall...Flash flooding possible

Valid 101624Z - 101924Z

Summary...Slow-moving showers and thunderstorms have developed
along the Nebraska/Kansas border region near Beatrice and
vicinity. Isolated instances of flash flooding are possible in
this regime.

Discussion...A couple bands of thunderstorms have developed along
the NE/KS border region over the past hour. The storms are in a
weakly sheared environment, with modest/minimal flow at all levels
supporting very slow storm movement. Heavy rainfall and rain
rates above 1-1.5 inch/hr are expected given 1.8 inch PW values in
the region. Storms are very near a surface cold front in the area
and are also forming beneath a substantial mid-level trough that
was likely providing ascent for convective development.

Ongoing convective development is slow-moving currently. As
storms persist, some slow southeastward movement is expected
along/toward northwestern Missouri and northeastern Kansas. This
process will depend on a couple factors, including cold pool
formation and propagation toward slightly faster steering flow in
the mid-levels. The timing of this process is a bit uncertain,
though. FFG thresholds are in the 1-1.5 inch/hr range, and local
exceedance is expected on at least an isolated basis over the next
few hours.

Cook

ATTN...WFO...EAX...GID...OAX...TOP...

ATTN...RFC...KRF...NWC...

LAT...LON 40549613 40339460 39969394 39419366 39069435
39089601 39139740 40259759

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* Origin: Capitol City Online (618:250/10)