• TS Dolly Forms

    From Mike Powell@618:250/10 to All on Thu Aug 27 15:39:00 2026
    103
    WTNT34 KNHC 271447
    TCPAT4

    BULLETIN
    Tropical Storm Dolly Advisory Number 1
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL042026
    1100 AM AST Thu Aug 27 2026

    ...TROPICAL STORM DOLLY FORMS OVER THE CENTRAL TROPICAL ATLANTIC... ...INTERESTS IN THE LEEWARD ISLANDS SHOULD MONITOR...


    SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION -----------------------------------------------
    LOCATION...13.6N 38.7W
    ABOUT 1555 MI...2505 KM E OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS
    MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
    PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 275 DEGREES AT 24 MPH...39 KM/H
    MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB...29.74 INCHES


    WATCHES AND WARNINGS
    --------------------
    There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.

    Interests in the Leeward Islands should monitor the progress of
    Dolly.


    DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
    ----------------------
    At 1100 AM AST (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Dolly was
    located near latitude 13.6 North, longitude 38.7 West. Dolly is
    moving toward the west near 24 mph (39 km/h) and this motion is
    expected to continue for the next couple of days. On the forecast
    track, this system should be nearing the Leeward Islands this
    weekend.

    Satellite wind data indicate that the maximum sustained winds are
    near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts. Little change in strength
    is forecast during the next 48 hours, and Dolly is forecast to
    degenerate into a tropical wave before it reaches the Leeward
    Islands.

    Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 60 miles (95 km)
    from the center.

    The estimated minimum central pressure is 1007 mb (29.74 inches).


    HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
    ----------------------
    Key messages for Dolly can be found in the Tropical Cyclone
    Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT4 and WMO header WTNT44 KNHC.

    RAINFALL: Heavy rain from this system could begin to affect the
    Leeward Islands late Saturday into Sunday, the Virgin Islands,
    Puerto Rico and Hispaniola Sunday and Monday. This heavy rain may
    produce flash flooding, especially in areas of higher terrain.


    NEXT ADVISORY
    -------------
    Next complete advisory at 500 PM AST.

    $$
    Forecaster Blake
    &&

    --- ScorpioWeb v0.38a (Linux/x86_64)
    * Origin: capitolcityonline.net * KY, USA (618:250/10)